Mike Priaro's profile

Trans Mountain Expansion Fatally Flawed

Cover: BC Ferries' Tsawwassen Terminal.  Source; Wikimedia Commons.
 
TRANSMOUNTAIN PIPELINE EXPANSION FATALLY FLAWED
 

Mike Priaro, P.Eng.
 
 
First uploaded April 26, 2014.  Last updated Dec. 31, 2015
 
 
Earlier version published in Vancouver Observer May 12, 2014:
http://www.vancouverobserver.com/opinion/transmountain-pipeline-expansion-fatally-flawed
 
 
 
“…what’s really important to me is that … we process the bitumen from the oil sands in Alberta
which creates a lot of jobs, and a lot of job activity, and… that would be a better thing to do
than merely sending the raw bitumen down the pipeline.”
 
—the late former Alberta Premier The Hon. Peter Lougheed
 in an interview on September 13, 2011.
 
 
On December 16, 2013 Kinder Morgan filed application to the National Energy Board to expand its TransMountain Pipeline to the West Coast.
 
The application contains five major flaws —any one of which ought to be fatal.
 
First Fatal Flaw
 
The first is that Kinder Morgan has not applied to relocate the TransMountain pipeline’s Westridge marine terminal from Burnaby, BC to Tsawwassen/Delta.
 
By purchasing BC Ferries’ Tsawwassen terminal (cover photo above), all tanker traffic would be removed from Vancouver’s central and inner harbours, from underneath the Second Narrows and Lions Gate bridges, past Stanley Park, from Burrard Inlet, and from a good part of the Salish Sea. 
 
Deep water at Tsawwassen would allow safe loading of much larger tankers, reducing additional Salish Sea tanker traffic by three-quarters.  The Burnaby mountain tank farm could be dismantled and pipelines through Burnaby, the third most densely-populated municipality in the Lower Mainland, would no longer be required. 
 
A Tsawwassen marine terminal also eliminates two major pipeline crossings of the Fraser River.  And it would eliminate the need to bring jet-fuel tankers up the Fraser River to a new jet-fuel marine terminal at Riverport and eliminates a new jet-fuel pipeline through Richmond. 
 
Proceeds from the sale would allow BC Ferries to construct a new terminal near Vancouver’s airport, reducing Island transit times, not the same as crossing times, by half for many Lower Mainlanders and Islanders —and making  airport/ferry/LRT connections fast and efficient.  One option is to expand and extend the Iona Spit jetty for the new ferry terminal.
 
Other options include enlarging the Deltaport coal/container terminal to include a marine tanker terminal (Option 2) or adding a new jetty just north of the coal/container terminal (Option 3) as shown below.
Map showing new BC Ferries Iona terminal, three options for new Tsawwassen/Delta marine terminal, and new pipeline along existing railway ROW.  Source, Mike Priaro.
Tankage associated with a new marine terminal would be safely located on the mainland while tankers would be loaded from a mooring buoy (Option 4) supplied by a line on a trestle or underwater.
 
Kinder Morgan estimated running a line along the Roberts Bank rail corridor would cost an additional $1.2 billion but this needs to be documented and cmpared to the economic cost of an oil spill in Vancouver's inner and central harbours and Burrard Inlet or in the Fraser River.
 
Re-locating the Westridge marine terminal to Tsawwassen/Delta might provide incentive for Chevron, or a Canadian competitor like Irving Oil, to replace and relocate the small, marginally-economic Burnaby refinery (shown below):
Chevron Burnaby refinery (foreground), refinery tank farm and loading wharf and Second Narrows Bridges (midground), City of Vacouver (distance), Vancouver Island (horizon).  Source: Chevron Canada.
eliminate the pipeline's Burnaby Mountain tank farm (shown below);
Kinder Morgan TransMountain Pipeline Existing Burnaby Mountain Tank Farm and Pipeline Terminal. Source; Burnaby NewsLeader.
 and eliminate the Chevron refinery's tank farm and marine loading wharf (shown below):
Chevron refinery tank farm and loading wharf in Burnaby, BC.  Source: Darryl Dyck, Canadian Press.
A world-leading, show-piece refinery like Irving Oil’s refinery in Saint John NB (shown below), Canada’s largest refinery, has reached production rates in excess of 320,000 bbl/d.  In 2003, Irving Oil became the first oil company to receive a US Environmental Protection Agency Clean Air Excellence Award for its clean gasoline.
 
The Irving refinery exports over 80 per cent of its production to the US and accounts for 75 per cent of Canada’s gasoline exports to the US and 19 per cent of all US gasoline imports.
Irving Oil's Saint John NB refinery with Canaport marine terminal in background. Source, Irving Oil.
Such a refinery could meet all of the Lower Mainland’s and Islands’ needs for petroleum products as well as exporting refined products. 
 
Higher than average refining margins due to lack of competition in the Lower Mainland have cost BC consumers roughly $2.7 billion since 2010 according to a study by Navius Research: Refining Margins in British Columbia: Examining the Renewable and Low Carbon Fuel Regulation Requirement in the Context of Refinery Net-Revenues, Michael Wolinetz, Navius Research Inc. February. 2015.
See:  http://www.naviusresearch.com/data/resources/Refining_Margins_%20and_the_BC_Clean_Fuel_Regulation_Navius.pdf
 
Such refining margins could be used to build a world-class, environmentally state-of-the-art refinery to produce the most environmentally-acceptable fuels possible, and/or build a second refinery to lower fuel costs through increased competition.
 
A new refinery could be supplied by a pipeline along an expanded existing CN Roberts Bank Rail Corridor right-of-way, without having to cross the Fraser River, before connecting to the existing and expanded TransMountain Pipeline right-of-way at approximately location 21 on the map below:
CN Roberts Bank Rail Corridor to Deltaport.  Source: Government of Canada.
Details of the Roberts Bank Rail Corridor intersection with the proposed TransMountain Pipeline ROW near Fort Langley are shown below:
Intersection of Roberts Bank Rail Corridor ROW and Proposed TransMountain Pipeline ROW.  Source; Mike Priaro.  Base Map, Kinder-Morgan, Google Maps.
A 150-metre wide Assessment Corridor is used for environmental impact assessment (EIA) studies and does not reflect the ultimate width or footprint of any proposed pipeline construction.  A pipeline’s construction footprint will typically be 45 metres wide and includes the registered easement (or operational corridor) that is typically 18 metres (60 feet) wide.
 
Most of the 45 metre space required for construction is for temporay pipe storage, trench width dictated by pipe size, depth and earth quality, temporary holding of stripped and excavated earth, and access for construction equipment.  A typical pipeline construction schematic is shown below.
 
A detailed study is required to ealuate any difficulties widening the existing railway ROW to accomodate a parallel pipeline. 
 
Typical Pipeline Construction Schematic.  Source, Shell Canada.
A refinery at Delta/Tsawwassen eliminates the in-river vessel movements, Fraser River marine terminal, fuel receiving facility and jet-fuel pipeline through Richmond, eliminates fuel barge traffic from U.S. refineries through the Salish Sea, and eliminates the need to import jet fuel.  Jet fuel could be barged directly from Tsawwassen to the airport as shown below:
Modified Vancouver Airport Fuel Delivery Project.  Source; Mike Priaro.
Second Fatal Flaw
 
The second fatal flaw is that the expanded pipeline will send dilbit to the West Coast for export.  There is no more environmentally-damaging crude than dilbit if spilled and no more economically-disadvantageous crude to export than the raw bitumen, extra heavy crude, or heavy crude diluted with solvent that makes up dilbit.
 
For a detailed and accurate discussion of bitumen, heavy crudes, and dilbit see "A Bitumen and Dilbit Primer" elsewhere on this site or at: https://www.behance.net/gallery/16654901/A-BITUMEN-AND-DILBIT-PRIMER
 
British Columbians should insist as a pre-condition to any agreement that dilbit shipped down the expanded TransMountain pipeline be completely phased out in favour of upgraded bitumen and conventional crude over an agreed-upon period —say 15 years, encouraged by an increasingly stiff  levy.  And all Canadians, including Albertans especially, must insist that all shipping of dilbit and exports of low-value raw bitumen be phased out.

Third Fatal Flaw
 
The third fatal flaw is that Kinder Morgan’s application makes no provision for the creation of a strategically-located, world-leading, oil-spill response centre.  The existing Western Canada Marine Response Corporation (WCMRC) falls far short on response times, personnel availability, knowledge, experience, and equipment to handle a large dilbit spill in the Salish Sea, or anywhere else.
 
This was highlighted by the disconcertingly slow and inadequate response to a relatively small spill estimated at 17 bbl (2700 litres) of Bunker C fuel from a cargo ship anchored off English Bay on April 9, 2015.
 
From an article in the Daily Oil Bulletin by Elsie Ross on April 13, 2015: 'Last week’s bunker fuel oil spill in Vancouver’s English Bay has demonstrated the Canadian federal government’s lack of world-class marine spill response preparedness, said British Columbia Premier Christy Clark.  The 18-barrel spill, which originated from a grain bulk carrier, could affect pipeline proposals exporting heavy oil off the B.C. coast, she said in a news conference April 10. “There won’t be any expansion of heavy oil out of this port or any other port in British Columbia until we get a world class spill response,” she said.'
 
WCMRC is a private industry-funded company whose shareholders are Imperial Oil, Shell Canada, Chevron, Suncor and Kinder Morgan which currently owns 50.9 per cent of the shares which are divided and adjusted based on the volume of oil each shareholder handles.
 
A world-leading spill response centre should be a public entity overseen by local, provincial, and federal governments, including First Nations, but funded by crude producers, crude buyers, the pipeline company, marine shippers, the Province of Alberta, and the federal government  —not British Columbians.
 
A world-leading spill response centre must have:
      -on-going funding;
      -dedicated personnel on-duty 24/7;
      -on-going drills, training, and research;
      -support from academia, industry, and government;
      -water-front facilities, dedicated vessels, and aircraft;
      -specialized equipment;
      -warehoused supplies;
      -strategic location;
      -centralized communications;
      -established and rehearsed communication, co-operation, and coordination with other specialized and local response organizations; and,
      -written and rehearsed emergency response plans to begin to effectively start to respond to a large spill, say several hundred thousand barrels, anywhere within one hour —day or night, weekdays or holidays, good weather or bad.

It might be possible to negotiate with U.S. Salish Sea and Puget Sound jurisdictions, regulators, and industry to co-operate on a joint Canada-US spill-response centre.
 
Conventional crude oil spills will generally float, emulsify, and/or evaporate depending on time, volatility, water temperature, wave action, and on density which is always less than fresh water.  Unfortunately, recovery of a dilbit spill is likely to be very, very low while ecological and property damage is likely to be very, very high . It is difficult to predict whether and how long dilbit will float, have neutral buoyancy, or sink with weathering and sediment uptake making spill clean-up extremely difficult and costly—if not impossible.  In fact, a dilbit spill could exhibit all three types of behaviour, floating, neutral buoyancy, and sinking simultaneously while unrecovered bitumen will never evaporate.
 
Fourth Fatal Flaw
 
The Tseil-Waututh First Nation claims traditional territory on Burrard Inlet surrounding the Westridge marine terminal in Burnaby and opposes the Trans Mountain expansion project. They will present their final summary arguments to the National Energy Board hearing panel in January, 2016.
 
The Musqueam, Squamish and Shxw’owhamel First Nations in the Lower Mainland; the T’souke and Tsawout First Nations from Vancouver Island; and the Shakan and Upper Nicola First Nations in the interior of B.C. alll also say the review is “fatally flawed” and oppose the project.
 
Fifth Fatal Flaw
 
The findings of the fire safety and risk analysis TransMountain Tank Farm Tactical Risk Analysis Date: 2015 May 01 by Burnaby Deputy Fire Chief Chris Bowcock raised serious concerns over selection of the Burnaby Mountain Terminal for the densification of oil storage tank use.
 
Based on the findings of the analysis, the Burnaby Mountain Terminal is not the appropriate location for the expansion of the Burnaby Mountain Terminal as it poses significant constraints from an emergency/fire response perspective, including but not limited to safety of firefighters and effectiveness to combat fire; containment and extinguishment of fire/spill/release; evacuation of employees within the Burnaby Mountain Terminal facility; evacuation of adjacent neighbourhoods, as well as broader areas impacted by release of sulfur based gases and toxic smoke plumes; and, protection of adjacent properties, including conservation lands.
 
Additionally, the proposed TransMountain expansion lacks appropriate consideration for original facility fire protection premises and industry best practices in petroleum storage and fire protection, as the proposal only seeks to comply with minimum federal and provincial code requirements.
 
See: http://www.burnaby.ca/AssetFactory.aspx?did=16919
 
Summary 
 
The elimination of dilbit transportion by pipelines, tankers or other means and the elimination of raw bitumen and extra heavy crude exports must be the imperative goal of Albertans. However, this will require one or two decades to achieve.
 
British Columbians have an opportunity to play a key positive role in achieving the important environmental and economic goal of eliminating the transport and export of raw bitumen as dilbit by demanding an agreement that dilbit volumes using an expanded TransMountain pipeline be phased out in the face of a stiff, escalating levy. 
 
Such a levy will recover some of the economic benefits lost to Canadians by the export of raw bitumen and by the high costs of diluent (i.e, the "diluent penalty" - see The Case for Partial Upgrading of Raw Bitumen in Alberta elsewhere on this website) and compensate British Columbians for the disruptions and risks of an expanded TransMountain pipeline.
 
Finally, the existing TransMountain pipeline is reported to pass through 15 First Nations lands and reserves while the proposed new twin line is expected to pass through nine.  While Kinder Morgan reports it has signed mutual benefit agreements with some First Nations, three in the Vancouver area have publicly opposed the project, as have the Coast Salish in Washington State and other communities along the route.  In addition the mayors of both the cities of Burnaby and Vancouver, the most affected municipalities, have been actively opposing the proposed expansion.
 
What none of the pipeline companies Enbridge, Kinder Morgan and even TransCanada, and the Conservative governments of Alberta and Canada didn't, wouldn't, or couldn't understand or admit, is that:
 
Dilbit is the problem!



Mike Priaro, P.Eng.
Calgary, Alberta
 
Author Bio

"Mike Priaro, B.Eng.Sc. (Chem. Eng.), U.W.O. '76, P.Eng., Lifetime Member Association of Professional Engineers and Geoscientists of Alberta (APEGA), worked in facilities, production, operations and reservoir engineering, as engineering consultant, area superintendent, and engineering management in Alberta's oil patch for 25 years for companies such as Amoco and PetroCanada.”

“He increased oil production from the historic Turner Valley oilfield and brought in under-balanced drilling technology to drill out, complete, and test several of the highest producing gas wells ever on mainland Canada at Ladyfern.  He co-authored ‘Advanced Fracturing Fluids Improve Well Economics’ in Schlumberger's Oilfield Review and developed the course material for the ‘Advanced Production Engineering’ course at Southern Alberta Institute of Technology.”
 
“Mike has presented his work to Canada’s House Committee on Natural Resources in Ottawa and had work published by the Macdonald-Laurier Institute in the March and April, 2014 and february, 2015 editions of Inside Policy magazine, by U.S. energy industry websites such as RBN Energy, in the July 17, 2014 edition of the Oil and Gas Journal, and in Petroleum Technology Quarterly Q3 2014.”

“Mike has no formal connection to any oil company, environmental organization, think tank, labour organization, lobbying or special interest group, academia, or to provincial or federal politics.”  However, Mike has been recently retained by Alberta Sulphur Research Limited to help promote, prove, develop, and commercialize a new partial upgrading process.

"Mike has incidental, long-time ownership of a modest number of TransCanada Corporation common shares supplemented by purchase of a small number of additional shares in 2012.  Mike also owns a few common shares in several small resource companies."

“Mike is the author of  “A ‘Canada-First’ Canadian Energy Strategy”  (see https://www.behance.net/portfolio/editor?project_id=5808629 ) and is available for speaking engagements, special projects, and consulting work.”
Trans Mountain Expansion Fatally Flawed
Published:

Trans Mountain Expansion Fatally Flawed

TransMountain Pipeline Expansion Application Fatally-Flawed

Published: